If the 2012 presidential election were held today, President Obama and possible Republican nominee Mitt Romney would be all tied up at 45% each, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.

The president, seeking a second four-year term, beats another potential GOP rival, Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, by six points – 48% to 42%.

That Palin would receive 42% of the vote in a presidential election compared to Obama’s 48% as things currently stand is impressive.  It says that maybe Palin’s political obituary shouldn’t be etched in stone so soon.  She has hinted that she doesn’t have to be a conventional politician to affect society.  So what can non-conventional politicians do to pursue their goals?  Run as third-party candidates, of course. (read: Ralph Nader, Ron Paul 1988, and Teddy Roosevelt 1912). In that case,  the results don’t look as great for the soon-to-be former governor.

Just 21% of voters nationwide say Palin should run as an independent if she loses the Republican presidential nomination in 2012. Sixty-three percent (63%) say the 2008 GOP vice presidential nominee should not run as an independent. Sixteen percent (16%) are not sure.

Still, Rasmussen writes out the result of Bull Moose-like scenario where Republicans split between Palin and Romney.  Obama would pull a Wilson on this one and continue four more years of change.

If Romney secured the GOP nomination and Palin chose to run as an independent candidate, Obama would win the resulting three-way race with 44% of the vote. Romney is the choice of 33% of the voters under that scenario, with Palin a distant third with 16% support. Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.”

Other than the resembling electoral scenarios, what else is there in common between these candidates and those from a hundred years ago?  Obama is more internationalist than Palin and Romney—though it is dubious that he would pass an actual Wilsonian test with flying colors.  Roosevelt once said that he was “as strong as a bull moose,” and Palin supported a policy to allow wolf hunting from the air in part to help increase the Alaskan moose population (in a more intricate connection, Roosevelt devised this activity right after inventing hunting, the Wright Brothers, and the airplane).  Romney and Taft…well, they are both male and alleged Republicans.  Unless Romney increases his weight over a hundred pounds or records show that Taft hired illegal immigrants from Guatemala to work on his lawn, those are the only readily apparent similarities between the two.

According to RedState’s Erick Erickson, the anti-Palin stories come from a pro-Romney cabal that hates the idea of Palin 2012.  Erickson writes:

“At this moment, however, it is absolutely clear — there is an effort, organized or not, by supporters of Mitt Romney to harm the reputation of Governor Sarah Palin. [. . .] there are Romney supporters now working on John McCain’s campaign who are, in fact, indisputably out to damage Sarah Palin’s reputation. I am not just convinced of it. I know it to be fact.” [RedState]

Maybe these are the same people who are allegedly distributing their resumes in the private sector a week before the election. [Politico]

Earlier today RedState’s Directors denounced anyone and everyone on the right who collaborated against McCain-Palin through what they call “destructive criticism.” [RedState]  Just hit the refresh button if RedState doesn’t load, as it tends to display an “Internal 500 server error” message or something like that.

Obama:

Slate reveals that it is in the tank for Obama (but is that really a surprise?). [Slate]  The McCain campaign suspects the same is true for the Los Angeles Times and probably the entire press. [Politico]  Anyways, the Smoking Gun website has a .gif that summarizes one of latest Obama stories, so here it is:

And of course CNN is in teh tanks too. [CNN]

]]> http://kitsch-posh.com/2008/10/28/on-conspiracies-real-or-not/feed/ 0 http://kitsch-posh.com/2008/10/19/mccain-calls-the-messiah-a-socialist/ http://kitsch-posh.com/2008/10/19/mccain-calls-the-messiah-a-socialist/#comments Sun, 19 Oct 2008 08:24:24 +0000 L http://kitsch-posh.com/?p=474 Running the names “obama” and “jesus” through Google Fight reveals that they have the same number of searches.  Coincidence?  We think not. [CNN, Google Fight]

Given that we are less than a week from the only VP debate, the campaign has sent Palin to McCain Intro 101 debate camp to make sure she can say things other than Alaska is next to Russia.  We at K/P remember fondly our time in summer camps years ago…making friends, roasting marshmallows, and preparing to debate Joe Biden on foreign policy and the economy.  We hope that by the end of camp she will realize she made a mistake and confused John McCain for Ron Paul.

We will liveblog the VP debate, probably from Mather House or Wasillastan.  Stay tuned!

The McCain campaign is restricting the media’s access to SarahPalin.com, just like she hid her teenage daughter’s pregnancy. There was a squatter before; check out the Internet Archive of SarahPalin.com here.

America’s new VPILF successfully blew off that pregnant-daughter thing; bringing that son-in-law-to-be on stage after her address seemed to pretty much seal it away, by showing Palin engaging in one of the finest traditions of middle American women:

…making a poor in-law’s life miserable. Seriously. Drag him out in front of 40 million Americans on prime-time television (we’re not talking Oprah here—oh God Sarah Palin wasn’t thinking of trotting out her kids on the Oprah show?) where the “elite media” is sure to point to his face with neon-sign caption “the baby’s father.” Does even John Edwards deserve that?* And even disregarding the baby thing, if America weren’t at the mercy of our beloved middle-class gals, the Bill of Rights would be eleven amendments long, and one of them would say that no man shall be compelled to present himself at a girlfriend’s family’s political convention. Well, something like that, maybe with broader language to protect every law-abiding citizen from situations of extreme awkwardness before an extended/quasi family and their 40 million friends.

But we digress. How about that other middle-class women thing, the part about having to make your ex’s life miserable? Unfortunately she can’t engage in this time-honored activity because she has been happily married to a high-school sweetheart (oh god)… or can she?

Remember, choosing Sarah Palin was McBRILLIANT (it must be true because you heard it on the Rush Limbaugh show). That can only mean that she is also McBRILLIANT; and yes, America, Sarah Palin has pursued a McBRILLIANT plan to allow her to “double down” on her appeal as the embodiment of the working middle-class American woman: she tried to ruin a ex-in-law’s life.

Hence we Sarah Palin fans can rest assured that troopergate is yet another step in her McBRILLIANT strategy of generating a barrage of “false flag” scandals in order to distract the evil media while highlighting and “doubling down” on her all-American character.

Also none of this matters because Sarah Palin is smoking hot.

*He does, actually.